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The Amazing Twenty Year Drop in American Violent Crime Continues—Crime in America.Net

Violent crime continues to drop in America according to the latest statistics from the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Of the last 20 years, violent crime rose only during 1991, 2005 and 2006. See .

For those of us who lived and worked through the dramatic rises in crime in the 1960’s and 1970’s and the crack-cocaine era of the 1980’s, the drop in violent crime in America is nothing short of astounding.

Violent crime numbers are at historical lows as to crimes reported to law enforcement agencies through the Federal Bureau of Investigation. The National Crime Survey also indicates record low numbers for crime. For a comparison of the two different methods of measuring crime, see http://crimeinamerica.net/crime-rates-united-states/.

Yes, there are cities and metropolitan areas with significant crime problems and readers of this article from those locations must certainly be confused by what they see here. Never-the-less, the drops in violent crime are significant.

Overall violent crime has been in an almost continual decline for the last 20 years. It was 758.2 per 100,000 population in 1991. It increased slightly (compared to 2004) in 2005 to 469.0 and 2006 to 473.6 but decreased in 2007, 2008 and 2009. The recorded 100,000 rate was 454.5 in 2008 with final 2009 figures at 429.4.

Murder was 9.5 per 100,000 population in 1991. Between 2000 and 2006 it ranged between 5.5 and 5.7 before declining to 5.4 in 2008. 2009 data is 5.0.

Robbery has gone from 272.7 per 100,000 population in 1991 to 145.3 in 2008 and 133 in 2009 with a couple years of slight increases in 2001 and 2006. Rape went from 42.8 in 1992 to 29.3 in 2008 and 28.7 in 2009. Aggravated Assault went from 441.9 per 100,000 population to 274.6 in 2008 and 268.8 in 2009.

2009 data indicates continued drops for all three violent crimes. Again, all of this is documented in http://crimeinamerica.net/crime-rates-united-states/.

A comparison of crimes in American cities, states and crime rates for countries can be found at http://crimeinamerica.net/city-crime-rates-top-ten-cities/.

Why the Drop?

It’s disconcerting to many when we say that no one really knows why crime in America has dropped to record lows. We were told by the criminological community that crime was supposed to increase due to crack babies or the failing economy or the increase in the most crime-prone age groups but all failed to live up to expectations.

The only major correlate is the vast increase in prison population, but many criminologists cannot bring themselves to the conclusion that prisons significantly reduce crime. While we strongly support programs for offenders within and outside of prison, the best (not all) studies indicate drops between 10 and 20 percent.

For a full discussion of   possible reasons for falling crime, see:

http://crimeinamerica.net/2010/03/09/do-prisons-reduce-crime-crime-news/

http://crimeinamerica.net/2010/02/15/do-decreases-in-child-abuse-explain-decreases-in-violent-crime-crime-news/

 http://crimeinamerica.net/2010/01/11/why-are-violent-crime-rates-falling-crime-in-america-net/

Crime in America.Net staff.

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