Highlights Sixty-one percent of registered voters say crime is either extremely or very important to their vote in the upcoming midterm elections. Sixty-seven percent of…
View More 61 Percent Of Registered Voters Feel That Crime Is An Extremely or Very Important Issue-Gallup
The data below is not just a finding; it’s the result of a redesigned National Crime Victimization Survey with complicated research considerations.
National Crime Victimization Survey is the nation’s primary source of information on criminal victimization occurring in the United States.
This is not FBI data based on crimes reported to law enforcement.
The rate of violent crime excluding simple assaults declined 25 percent, from 9.9 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in 2024 to 7.4 per 1,000 in 2025, per a preliminary report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). Property crime also decreased.
The key question is how readers should interpret a 25 percent decrease in 2025 in rates of violent crime.
Feel free to stop here, but if you’re interested in the redesign of the National Crime Victimization Survey and how they got to the 25 percent reduction, then read on.
Dozens of national media outlets are reporting a 25 percent reduction in rates of violent crime in 2025 based on the new BJS report. Are they correct? See the copy from CBS News.
So when a news outlet simply says that “violent crime declined 25%,” readers may reasonably assume that the finding covers all violent victimization.
A more accurate description is that BJS’s preliminary estimate shows a 25% decline in serious violent victimization, excluding simple assault. Simple assault is the largest crime category.
News coverage that omits the exclusion of simple assault risks giving readers an overly broad impression of what BJS found.
The redesigned NCVS uses revised questions and expanded prompts intended to identify criminal victimization more effectively. BJS expected the new instrument to produce larger estimates in many categories.
The National Crime Victimization Survey states that rates of violent crime increased 44 percent (based on findings from independent crime analysts) in 2022 and rates of violent crime remained essentially unchanged in 2023 and 2024. See below.
Now, we have a significant decline in rates of NCVS violent crime for 2025. But that finding needs a lot of explanation.
View More Did The Rate Of Violent Crime Really Decline 25 Percent In 2025?
Highlights Latest national jail statistics from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) of the USDOJ. Are more people being held in jail before their trial…
View More Higher Percentage Of Arrested Defendants Are Being Held In Jail—New DOJ Statistics
Highlights Yes, the alleged rape case at Cornell is disturbing (all crimes are alleged until a guilty finding). Incidents involving potentially serious felonies at universities…
View More The Cornell Rape Allegations–Dropped Criminal Cases Are Common
Highlights If you want to understand crime and criminal justice systems in the US, this article is important to reporters and members of the criminal…
View More School Crime Increased by 35 Percent?–Understanding The Redesigned National Crime Victimization Survey
Highlights We have mostly recovered from the loss of 25,000 local police officers and civilian personnel. What caused a return to police hiring and…
View More Employment Of Police Officers Significantly Improves-Why?
Highlights The point of this article is not to dispute reductions in reported crime. It’s wonderful news. But police and city administrators, plus community leaders,…
View More Are There Violent Or Property Crimes That Are Increasing?
Highlights An integration of data using reported crime and crime surveys from five countries: the United States, Canada, the UK, New Zealand, and Australia. …
View More Per Five Countries-Crime May Be Shifting Towards Fraud
NPA Podcast with Guest, Leonard Sipes, Researcher, Media Relations, Owner of CrimeinAmerica.Net Show Notes/Transcript Leonard Sipes returns to the National Police Association Podcast for…
View More American Crime Statistics Podcast With The National Police Association
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. This article describes a program providing services to young men in a high-crime community in…
View More Can A Violence Interrupter Program Reduce Arrests By 73 Percent?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Countries with low rates of violence are considered the happiest in the world. Safety matters more…
View More Happy Countries Are The Safest-The US Is 23rd
Highlights The FBI recorded a substantial decrease in violent and property crimes. This article offers possible reasons why and context not offered by the mainstream…
View More FBI Records Historic Drops in Reported Crime In 2025-Why?
Highlights Are weight loss drugs affecting criminal activity? There’s data suggesting that it does. There seems to be a wide array of new observations beyond…
View More Can Weight Loss Drugs Reduce Violent Crime?
Highlights Compared with just a few years ago, fewer teenagers are: Drinking alcohol. Binge drinking. Smoking cigarettes. Vaping nicotine. Using marijuana. Beginning to use alcohol…
View More Good News For Youth Substance Abuse And Mental Health—Why That Matters for Crime
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Extensive literature reviews from impartial, prestigious research organizations on crime and justice operations are rare. The…
View More Cutting Crime By A Third: Proactive Policing Works—Will We Use It?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Gallup documents a considerable decrease in confidence for the American institutions measured. The law enforcement profession,…
View More Per Gallup-Confidence In American Police Exceeds Most Other Institutions
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. There are hundreds of media articles celebrating the reductions in reported crime as offered by the…
View More Per Gallup-Identity Theft And Scams Happen Far More Often Than All FBI Reported Crimes
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. After decades in the justice system (six years in law enforcement) with multiple university degrees, I…
View More Sorry Reporters-Why Crime Has No Easy Answers
Highlights This article was created to support my 35th appearance on the nationally syndicated Armstrong Williams show focusing on worldwide fear of crime. This article…
View More Is Prison The Answer? Fear Of Crime In The US, Europe And Central-South America
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Per Gallup, seventeen percent of Democrats say that crime in the US is not serious, versus…
View More Gallup-Four Out Of Five Democrats View Crime As A Serious National Concern